Credit constraints and productivity of SMEs: Evidence from Canada

Abstract

To what extent firms are constrained by external credit is usually unobserved in commonly used firm-level data. We use a survey of financing among Canadian small and medium-sized enterprises to measure the likelihood of a firm being constrained by credit. We find that firm size, current debt-to-asset ratio and cash flow are robust indicators of being financially constrained, while long-term debt to asset ratio is not a significant indicator of credit constraints. We then estimate the firm-level total factor productivity, taking into account the measured credit constraints. Omitting credit constraints leads to an upward bias of productivity estimates, by 4 percent. In addition, we find no strong evidence that suggests credit constraints lead to slower productivity growth. Finally, we confirm that both investment and employment growth are negatively affected by the measured credit constraints.

Publication
Economic Modelling, 88, 366-380

The 2020 Best Paper Award, category Financial Economics, Economic Modelling.

Shutao Cao
Shutao Cao
Assistant Professor of Economics

Research in macroeconomics.